The Decline and Fall of Amazon
By
Duane Thresher, Ph.D. June 2, 2019
Amazon is the quintessential IT company. It rose when the
Internet (actually the Web) rose, in the early 1990's. It's
one of the most visited websites in the world. And it's the
biggest seller of IT itself.
According to Jeff Bezos, Amazon
founder/chairman/CEO/president, "Amazon is not too big to fail
... In fact, I predict one day Amazon will fail. Amazon will
go bankrupt. If you look at large companies, their lifespans
tend to be 30-plus years, not a hundred-plus years." Jeff
Bezos incorporated Amazon in 1994, so Amazon will fall in
2024, in just a few years. You can already see the
decline.
In a self-fulfilling prophecy, Bezos is spending Amazon money
on his hobbies — rockets, Hollywood, The Washington Post
— and extramarital affairs like there is indeed no
tomorrow and doing little but paying lip service to "Building
Earth's Most Customer-Centric Company". Nero fiddled while
Rome burned.
I have a lot of experience with Amazon since I buy a lot of IT
books and hardware and have been a customer since the early
1990's, when Amazon began. I experienced Amazon's rise, which
wasn't exactly meteoric — it wasn't profitable for years
— so can compare it to its current decline, and
soon-to-be fall.
Amazon customer service is now all outsourced to India, to
Indians pretending to speak English. It's better to just
throw away the junk — most of it is Chinese-made anyway
— that Amazon sent you and accept the money loss than to
also waste your time complaining about the junk to a
broken-English foreigner in order to get a refund,
particularly if a return is required for the refund. That
situation is by design. It's a double win for Amazon —
cheap labor and thwarted refunds.
Amazon item reviews are now widely manipulated. There are
many services where an item manufacturer, publisher, author,
or other seller can pay to get 5-star reviews, an
average-increasing amount of them. You've seen these, they're
the short 5-star reviews — the paid reviewers can't
spend too much time on individual reviews and they are often
foreign and long reviews make the atrocious English more
obvious. This manipulation is common knowledge, so Amazon
reviews are now also widely mistrusted.
Most other Amazon reviews are meaningless drivel clearly
written by idiots. You've seen these too. Reviews like, "I
didn't actually ever buy, use, or know anything about the item
but I'm writing a review because I just want to see myself in
print."
This review drivel includes the Amazon Vine program, whereby
item manufacturers, publishers, authors, and other sellers
give their products free to known-friendly Amazon customers,
as payment, and get a customer review in return. Yeah right,
those reviews are going to be unbiased. Moreover, Vine
reviews are usually the earliest reviews, which gives them
time to accumulate the most number of "helpful" votes. And
reviews with the most number of helpful votes are shown first
to customers by Amazon.
I recently bought a pair of AmazonBasics in-ear headphones
with microphone. I was looking in the reviews for some
mention of how good the electronics were. Most of the
first-seen most-helpful reviews were Vine reviews like "They
come in pretty colors! — Buffy". With no other
information available I bought these headphones and they
turned out to be garbage, like most AmazonBasics stuff, which
is Chinese-made junk that you would never dream of buying if
it was sold under its real brand name, like Ful Yu. Amazon
did refund my money but I had to argue for half an hour with a
broken-English Indian over whether I had to return the
defective $12 item via driving to a UPS store or I could just
toss it in the garbage. That's another way Amazon thwarts
refunds. They send items to you via readily-accessible USPS
but require returns via much-less-accessible UPS.
There are rarely expert reviews on Amazon because, given the
junk sold, these are usually negative and Amazon forbids
negative expert reviews. (Negative reviews from idiots are
acceptable.) This is so as not to unprofitably alienate item
manufacturers, publishers, authors, and other sellers. I know
this from experience. Most recently, I purchased
SEO For
Dummies, 6th edition, by Peter Kent from Amazon. Reading
through it, I quickly realized the book was just a
self-promoting self-glorifying piece about Kent personally and
his SEO (Search Engine Optimization) consulting business
— the SEO theory in it was complete nonsense. Kent was,
as he himself put it, a "snake oil salesman". I wrote a
review to this effect and it was immediately rejected by
Amazon, who just flat out admitted it was rejected because we
"don't allow reviews that criticize authors". Amazon was
trying to make the distinction between a book and its author
but no one else makes this distinction (if you criticize any
author's book, he rightfully takes it personally) and does
this mean an autobiography can't be criticized? After that
stupidity I'd had enough and deleted all my other Amazon
reviews and will never write another.
I once purchased a book from Amazon, soon after its
publication, and quickly discovered it was completely
plagiarized from Wikipedia:
Wireless Crash Course: Third
Edition by Paul Bedell. I reported it to Amazon, with
detailed proof of this copyright violation: book passages
versus Wikipedia passages,
a lot of them. Amazon did
nothing, just left it for sale on its website. It was an easy
choice for Amazon: make money on the plagiarized book's sale
or do the right thing. I didn't even bother writing a review
pointing out this copyright violation since I knew it would be
rejected by Amazon.
Seeking total market domination, Amazon took over eBay's niche
of having numerous "third party" sellers. The result has been
the permanent ruin of Amazon's reputation. Amazon has become
a haven/sanctuary for crooked sellers. Item descriptions are
pure fiction; they are whatever the sellers think will make
you buy the item. For example, used books, no matter how
trashed, are sold as "like new". The total of refunds due to
complaints is trivial compared to the total from those quietly
accepting being ripped off so this is a very profitable, if
corrupt, business plan. (Although even Amazon itself has
enthusiastically adopted this scam; I often get "new" items
directly from Amazon that have clearly been used.)
I once bought a "brand new sealed" laptop hard drive from a
third-party seller on Amazon, Storite. Most people don't know
this, probably including Storite, but a hard drive keeps an
internal record (SMART) of how many times and how long it has
been turned on, i.e. you can tell if it is new or not. When I
received the supposedly-new hard drive I immediately accessed
this record and found that the hard drive had been turned on
892 times and been on for a total of 1,742 hours! Storite
refunded my money, let me keep the drive, and paid me an extra
$10 to not tell Amazon or write a review exposing it as a
crooked seller. I took the deal because I knew Amazon would
do nothing and would reject any such review and I wanted to
get something for my troubles.
More recently, I purchased a "brand new sealed" boxed set of
video DVDs from a third-party seller on Amazon,
CDWarehouseOnline. (OK, I admit it, it was
Mister Ed: The
Complete Series, for my daughter.) When I received it,
the cardboard box was clearly old, just resealed in plastic,
which is a common scam . When I tried to play the DVDs, they
didn't work at all or only worked sporadically, like pirated
DVDs. The seller refused to refund my money so I complained
to Amazon about one of its sellers selling pirated DVDs and
threatened a very public lawsuit. Amazon not only refunded my
money and gave me $50 for my trouble but I also got a phone
call from Gabor Kiss in Jeff Bezos's office. Amazon was
clearly concerned that its crooked third-party sellers not be
made public. Gabor and I discussed crooked third-party
sellers on Amazon at length, but of course Amazon never
actually did anything about them. Why should they when they
can pay a very few customers off for a lot less than they make
from the crooked third party sellers?
In summary, Amazon won't do anything about its crooked
third-party sellers and they won't let you write a review to
do something about its crooked third-party
sellers.
Finally, everyone now assumes that everything is cheaper on
Amazon. Not even close to true. Amazon and its crooked
third-party sellers take advantage of this false belief they
perpetuate and charge outrageous prices for items you can get
much cheaper in any local store or from other sellers on the
Internet, if only you would look. Do everyone a favor, and
look elsewhere. You're going to end up Googling the item
anyway, because searching on Amazon has become useless as
Amazon sells off how it ranks its search results to crooked
third-party sellers.